The restaurant industry showed “promising signs of recovery” in March 2025, as large chain restaurant transactions saw notable improvement, according to data from Circana, LLC. Transactions for the four weeks ending April 6, 2025, were flat (0%) year-over-year. This marks a significant gain over February’s 4% decline, showcasing the industry’s resilience in the face of economic uncertainty and low consumer confidence. Circana’s data showed positive trends contributing to the restaurant sector’s renewed momentum in March, including improved transaction decline. The morning meal was the best performing part of the day and made the most progress, recovering from -6% in February to 3% in March. The rebound is largely driven by an increase in office occupancy rates as more companies implement stronger return-to-office policies, the company said. Both quick-service restaurants (QSRs) and full-service restaurants showed performance improvement relative to February. Within QSRs, fast casual restaurants led the way, growing transactions by 2% in March.